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Qual 142016 Lone Star Regional
Red77
399932.5
258220.6
310325.5
Blue110
334517.0
463926.9
11866.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions779905015020077110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3999
#34
32.50.5
33.8→33.3
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
blue by 33.7
118
#1
66.20.2
58.3→58.4
Auto17.7
Teleop38.2
End10.2
Second
3103
#21
25.50.5
21.9→21.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
blue by 1.4
4639
#28
26.90.2
19.6→19.8
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Third
2582
#56
20.60.6
22.2→21.5
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 3.6
3345
#41
17.00.3
14.8→15.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed10%Capture oddsMissed