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Red75
611117.6
258521.8
62435.0
Blue73
399723.3
464117.9
541424.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755601001507573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#26
35.00.0
37.837.8
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
red by 10.2
5414
#35
24.81.4
22.824.2
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Second
2585
#57
21.80.0
18.017.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End3.1
blue by 1.5
3997
#63
23.31.7
20.322.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Third
6111
#38
17.60.0
14.614.6
Auto2.4
Teleop10.7
End4.5
blue by 0.3
4641
#47
17.91.0
14.315.3
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned17%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed