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Qual 192016 Lone Star Regional
Red96
333525.2
541628.7
215835.8
Blue69
289714.6
526120.6
147733.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7866020401001201409669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#6
35.81.4
33.4→34.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 1.8
1477
#9
33.90.4
31.5→31.1
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End5.3
Second
5416
#23
28.72.4
22.1→24.5
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End4.4
red by 8.1
5261
#50
20.60.7
18.1→17.4
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
Third
3335
#15
25.22.1
18.8→20.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 10.6
2897
#62
14.60.7
16.1→15.3
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed