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Red45
435521.2
617320.6
432812.6
Blue45
415520.4
582922.8
334517.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565302040801001204545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4355
#45
21.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.3
blue by 1.7
5829
#16
22.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Second
6173
#43
20.6
Auto3.2
Teleop14.4
End2.9
red by 0.2
4155
#42
20.4
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
4328
#55
12.6
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.6
blue by 4.5
3345
#41
17.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed