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Qual 212016 Lone Star Regional
Red76
354520.5
542724.5
473117.3
Blue45
435521.2
44113.6
383413.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5557404550606570757645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#18
24.51.4
18.5→19.9
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 3.3
4355
#45
21.20.8
19.5→18.7
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.3
Second
3545
#36
20.51.4
20.3→21.6
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End3.3
red by 6.9
441
#53
13.61.1
15.5→14.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Third
4731
#11
17.30.9
15.0→16.0
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End4.5
red by 4.2
3834
#65
13.11.1
20.0→18.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed