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Red49
361624.4
164221.9
433615.5
Blue48
289714.6
399723.3
435521.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625701001502004948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3616
#30
24.40.7
21.821.1
Auto7.3
Teleop13.5
End3.6
red by 1.1
3997
#63
23.30.9
22.121.2
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Second
1642
#29
21.90.8
19.819.0
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
red by 0.8
4355
#45
21.20.6
18.718.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.3
Third
4336
#58
15.51.1
17.616.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 0.9
2897
#62
14.60.9
15.314.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed