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Red78
543131.4
473117.3
261319.3
Blue38
592321.1
582922.8
258521.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635702040801001201401607838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#14
31.40.5
29.029.5
Auto6.2
Teleop20.5
End4.6
red by 8.5
5829
#16
22.81.4
20.819.4
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Second
2613
#13
19.30.5
15.215.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 2.5
2585
#57
21.82.0
17.915.9
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End3.1
Third
4731
#11
17.30.5
16.016.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.8
End4.5
blue by 3.7
5923
#44
21.12.0
17.515.5
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed