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Qual 392016 Lone Star Regional
Red77
619624.8
435521.2
458743.2
Blue105
11866.2
609515.4
613319.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72942040608012014016077105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
#5
43.20.3
37.5→37.7
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End3.6
blue by 23.0
118
#1
66.21.1
60.0→61.1
Auto17.7
Teleop38.2
End10.2
Second
6196
#27
24.80.5
17.4→17.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.5
red by 5.3
6133
#8
19.51.1
15.8→16.9
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
4355
#45
21.20.3
18.1→18.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.3
End3.3
red by 5.7
6095
#54
15.41.8
12.6→14.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
61%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed8%Capture oddsMissed