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Red58
288226.2
289714.6
589213.7
Blue54
310325.5
541424.8
507013.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions475802040801001201405854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2882
#12
26.21.2
19.921.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.5
red by 0.7
3103
#21
25.50.1
22.021.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
Second
2897
#62
14.61.2
14.415.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 10.2
5414
#35
24.80.1
23.323.3
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5892
#60
13.70.7
13.213.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
red by 0.2
5070
#51
13.40.1
9.59.5
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed