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Red58
374324.5
623520.2
429520.0
Blue27
432812.6
526120.6
62435.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4779020601001201401605827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3743
#10
24.50.9
17.017.9
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 10.5
624
#26
35.03.0
35.132.1
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Second
6235
#31
20.20.5
16.917.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.1
End3.2
blue by 0.4
5261
#50
20.65.0
21.816.8
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
Third
4295
#39
20.00.9
16.016.9
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End2.4
red by 7.4
4328
#55
12.65.0
14.910.0
Auto1.5
Teleop8.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed61%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed