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Qual 542016 Lone Star Regional
Red107
261319.3
215835.8
354520.5
Blue59
463926.9
373523.2
125519.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7064020408010012014010759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#6
35.81.3
33.5→34.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 8.8
4639
#28
26.90.3
21.6→21.3
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Second
3545
#36
20.52.2
19.0→21.1
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End3.3
blue by 2.8
3735
#33
23.20.3
21.3→21.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End4.2
Third
2613
#13
19.31.3
15.0→16.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 0.6
1255
#64
19.90.3
20.0→19.8
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
72%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed