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Red70
373523.2
415520.4
5725.0
Blue88
550317.1
399932.5
142131.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6478020401001201407088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
#24
25.00.1
24.624.7
Auto5.8
Teleop16.5
End2.7
blue by 7.5
3999
#34
32.51.0
32.533.4
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
Second
3735
#33
23.20.0
21.021.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End4.2
blue by 7.9
31.11.0
28.829.8
Auto8.1
Teleop17.7
End5.4
Third
4155
#42
20.40.1
18.718.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 3.3
5503
#49
17.11.6
12.213.9
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned