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Red72
526120.6
556610.5
463926.9
Blue84
164221.9
582922.8
589213.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495602040801007284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4639
#28
26.91.6
24.325.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
red by 4.1
5829
#16
22.81.7
20.322.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Second
5261
#50
20.62.6
17.119.7
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
blue by 1.3
1642
#29
21.91.7
20.021.7
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
5566
#66
10.52.6
7.09.6
Auto3.2
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 3.1
5892
#60
13.71.7
12.914.7
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
27%Breach oddsMissed57%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed