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Qual 782016 Lone Star Regional
Red104
62435.0
147733.9
613319.5
Blue58
23134.8
592321.1
589213.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions907205010015010458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#26
35.01.3
33.3→34.6
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
red by 0.2
231
#3
34.81.0
35.4→34.4
Auto10.3
Teleop18.1
End6.5
Second
1477
#9
33.91.3
33.1→34.3
Auto10.9
Teleop17.8
End5.3
red by 12.8
5923
#44
21.11.5
22.6→21.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
6133
#8
19.51.3
18.3→19.6
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
red by 5.8
5892
#60
13.71.0
14.7→13.7
Auto2.5
Teleop8.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
7%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed