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Qual 832016 Lone Star Regional
Red81
258521.8
334517.0
542724.5
Blue143
235230.5
619624.8
215835.8
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions509302040608010012014081143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#18
24.52.7
21.8→24.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 11.3
2158
#6
35.82.3
34.0→36.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
2585
#57
21.82.7
19.0→21.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End3.1
blue by 8.8
2352
#20
30.52.3
28.7→31.0
Auto8.1
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Third
3345
#41
17.02.9
14.1→17.0
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End2.0
blue by 7.8
6196
#27
24.83.5
21.3→24.8
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed7%Capture oddsEarned