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Red96
550317.1
258731.7
384729.7
Blue93
261319.3
541628.7
164221.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80680501001509693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#32
31.71.0
31.532.5
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
red by 3.0
5416
#23
28.71.0
27.728.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End4.4
Second
3847
#17
29.71.0
29.330.2
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End5.2
red by 7.8
1642
#29
21.90.7
21.722.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End3.1
Third
5503
#49
17.11.5
15.517.1
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End5.4
blue by 2.2
2613
#13
19.30.7
18.619.3
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed81%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed