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Red50
383413.1
464117.9
373523.2
Blue100
399132.2
463926.9
507013.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53732040608010012014050100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#33
23.20.3
22.322.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End4.2
blue by 8.9
32.21.8
31.133.0
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
4641
#47
17.90.3
18.217.9
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 9.0
4639
#28
26.91.8
25.927.7
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Third
3834
#65
13.10.4
13.513.1
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 0.3
5070
#51
13.42.8
10.613.4
Auto1.6
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned