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Semifinal 1-12016 Lone Star Regional
Red187
458743.2
11866.2
373523.2
Blue154
384729.7
215835.8
235230.5
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18511150150200250300187154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
66.20.1
66.2→66.3
Auto17.7
Teleop38.2
End10.2
red by 30.4
2158
#6
35.80.1
36.1→36.0
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
4587
#5
43.20.1
43.3→43.4
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End3.6
red by 12.7
2352
#20
30.50.1
30.8→30.8
Auto8.1
Teleop18.5
End3.9
Third
3735
#33
23.20.1
23.3→23.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End4.2
blue by 6.5
3847
#17
29.70.1
30.1→30.0
Auto8.5
Teleop16.1
End5.2