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Red113
406340.9
331050.9
430113.2
Blue124
557228.9
543735.5
336628.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135107050150200250113124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.4
51.451.0
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
red by 15.4
35.50.1
35.936.1
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End3.8
Second
40.90.4
41.541.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.1
End6.7
red by 12.1
5572
#23
28.90.1
29.329.4
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
Third
4301
#35
13.20.5
13.813.4
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 14.9
3366
#17
28.00.1
28.528.6
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5