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Red84
47176.9
406340.9
380234.3
Blue80
578320.3
215832.3
495933.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79816070901008480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.4
38.639.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.1
End6.7
red by 7.9
33.00.1
30.830.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.9
End5.0
Second
34.30.4
29.329.8
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End6.1
red by 2.0
2158
#10
32.30.1
31.431.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End4.8
Third
4717
#39Sur
6.90.7
9.410.1
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End-1.0
blue by 13.4
5783
#25Sur
20.30.1
16.616.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed