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Red57
45725.4
598624.6
47999.8
Blue101
331050.9
473419.4
557228.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions379905015057101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#30
25.41.0
20.321.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
blue by 25.5
50.90.6
47.147.8
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
Second
5986
#13
24.61.0
16.717.7
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6
blue by 4.3
5572
#23
28.90.8
22.523.3
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
Third
4799
#38
9.81.3
7.89.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 9.6
4734
#29
19.40.7
17.618.3
Auto7.8
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed