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Red67
215832.3
182821.9
614421.8
Blue47
469424.7
457014.8
531218.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6953204060801006747

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#10
32.30.2
29.229.4
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End4.8
red by 7.6
24.70.7
19.618.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Second
1828
#22
21.90.2
20.120.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.8
End2.6
red by 3.6
5312
#11
18.30.6
17.617.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Third
6144
#18
21.810.0
25.815.9
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End2.3
red by 7.0
4570
#34
14.80.8
16.916.1
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed