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Red116
429820.6
331050.9
614421.8
Blue81
543735.5
436425.2
215832.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions809105010015011681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.92.4
47.950.4
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
red by 15.4
35.50.4
34.934.5
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End3.8
Second
6144
#18
21.84.0
17.221.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End2.3
blue by 10.5
2158
#10
32.30.4
31.631.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End4.8
Third
4298
#21
20.62.4
14.416.9
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End1.9
blue by 4.5
25.20.4
20.219.8
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed