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Red40
457014.8
45725.4
588816.5
Blue98
469424.7
380234.3
452235.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions479101001504098

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#30
25.40.8
22.321.5
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
blue by 10.1
4522
#26
35.51.1
32.233.2
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End4.3
Second
5888
#32
16.51.3
16.915.6
Auto0.7
Teleop11.8
End4.0
blue by 17.8
34.31.1
29.931.0
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End6.1
Third
4570
#34
14.81.3
12.611.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.9
blue by 10.0
24.71.1
19.920.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned