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Red65
463526.4
469424.7
182821.9
Blue100
336628.0
578320.3
198733.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64750204010012014016065100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#28
26.40.1
25.425.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End4.2
blue by 7.4
1987
#12
33.81.9
33.835.8
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End5.0
Second
24.70.1
20.921.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
blue by 3.3
3366
#17
28.01.9
23.825.7
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
1828
#22
21.90.1
17.317.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.8
End2.6
red by 1.6
5783
#25
20.33.2
13.316.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
68%Breach oddsEarned48%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed