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Red72
561329.5
272319.1
578320.3
Blue82
380234.3
436425.2
557228.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566502040801001201407282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.2
24.125.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End4.8
blue by 4.8
34.31.3
27.929.2
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End6.1
Second
5783
#25
20.31.8
15.917.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End1.8
blue by 8.6
5572
#23
28.92.1
17.919.9
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
Third
2723
#24
19.11.8
15.517.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End1.7
blue by 6.1
25.21.5
16.417.8
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsEarned25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed