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Red38
430113.2
47176.9
430025.2
Blue98
598624.6
182821.9
380234.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4277020601001201403898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4300
#19
25.20.9
22.321.4
Auto6.5
Teleop15.1
End3.6
blue by 9.1
34.31.5
31.432.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End6.1
Second
4301
#35
13.21.5
17.616.1
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 11.4
5986
#13
24.61.5
21.122.7
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Third
4717
#39
6.91.5
6.45.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End-1.0
blue by 15.0
1828
#22
21.91.5
17.418.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsMissed72%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned