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Red42
469424.7
598624.6
34177.7
Blue47
272319.1
52129.0
430113.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594802040801001201404247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.9
23.822.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
red by 5.7
2723
#24
19.10.1
21.821.7
Auto6.2
Teleop11.2
End1.7
Second
5986
#13
24.60.9
22.721.7
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6
red by 11.4
4301
#35
13.20.1
16.116.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Third
3417
#40
7.71.5
9.68.1
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 1.3
5212
#27
9.00.1
10.310.2
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
50%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed