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Red77
186034.0
198733.8
588816.5
Blue90
577114.4
331050.9
561329.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86101501502007790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.6
32.531.9
Auto13.5
Teleop18.2
End2.3
blue by 16.8
50.90.4
53.252.8
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
Second
1987
#12
33.80.6
36.736.2
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End5.0
red by 4.2
29.50.4
27.827.3
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Third
5888
#32
16.50.8
16.415.5
Auto0.7
Teleop11.8
End4.0
red by 2.1
5771
#15
14.40.4
15.214.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned90%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed