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Red88
557228.9
457014.8
348139.9
Blue85
34177.7
380234.3
430025.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78640501001508885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#16
39.90.9
36.937.9
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End3.9
red by 5.6
34.31.0
33.934.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End6.1
Second
5572
#23
28.90.9
28.028.9
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
red by 3.7
4300
#19
25.21.0
22.423.5
Auto6.5
Teleop15.1
End3.6
Third
4570
#34
14.81.4
8.910.3
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.9
red by 7.1
3417
#40
7.71.5
8.19.6
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed