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Red118
215832.3
561329.5
186034.0
Blue104
336628.0
430025.2
406340.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931006080120140160118104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.01.8
32.634.3
Auto13.5
Teleop18.2
End2.3
blue by 6.9
40.90.5
42.442.9
Auto10.2
Teleop24.1
End6.7
Second
2158
#10
32.31.8
30.832.6
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End4.8
red by 4.3
3366
#17
28.00.5
28.929.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
29.51.8
28.129.9
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End4.8
red by 4.4
4300
#19
25.20.5
24.625.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsMissed