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Red154
406340.9
331050.9
430113.2
Blue88
452235.5
436425.2
463526.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419805020025030035015488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.0
52.652.5
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
red by 15.4
4522
#26
35.50.1
35.635.5
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End4.3
Second
40.90.0
42.742.6
Auto10.2
Teleop24.1
End6.7
red by 14.6
4635
#28
26.40.1
26.426.4
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End4.2
Third
4301
#35
13.20.0
15.115.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 12.0
25.20.1
25.325.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1