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Red108
406340.9
331050.9
430113.2
Blue105
452235.5
436425.2
430025.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13897050150200250108105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.4
51.951.4
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
red by 15.4
4522
#26
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End4.3
Second
40.90.4
42.041.5
Auto10.2
Teleop24.1
End6.7
red by 15.8
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Third
4301
#35
13.20.5
14.313.8
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End0.9
blue by 12.0
4300
#19
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto6.5
Teleop15.1
End3.6