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Red137
557228.9
543735.5
336628.0
Blue106
215832.3
469424.7
598624.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1141000200300400500137106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.2
36.136.3
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End3.8
red by 3.2
2158
#10
32.30.0
32.332.3
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End4.8
Second
5572
#23
28.90.2
29.529.6
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
red by 4.1
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Third
3366
#17
28.00.2
28.628.8
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
red by 3.4
5986
#13
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6