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Red133
384733.9
348139.9
582922.8
Blue160
129636.5
300539.8
433518.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119118110130140150160133160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Level
3005
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
Second
3847
Unranked
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
blue by 2.6
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Third
5829
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
red by 4.7
4335
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2