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Red90
543134.3
258220.6
44113.6
Blue106
129636.5
62435.0
373524.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6510505015090106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
blue by 2.3
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Second
2582
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.9
blue by 14.4
624
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Third
441
Unranked
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
blue by 10.6
3735
Unranked
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds9%Capture odds