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Red72
288133.4
300539.8
526120.6
Blue59
258731.7
336628.0
399132.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97940501502007259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
red by 7.7
3991
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
2881
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
red by 1.7
2587
Unranked
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Third
5261
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
blue by 7.4
3366
Unranked
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds