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Red72
582922.8
258220.6
258731.7
Blue123
295015.9
171033.4
458748.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721065015020072123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
Unranked
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 16.9
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Second
5829
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 10.6
1710
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
2582
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 4.8
2950
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds20%Capture odds