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Red76
526120.6
333525.2
129636.5
Blue79
288133.4
542724.5
5732.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83940501507679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
red by 3.1
2881
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Second
3335
Unranked
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 7.0
57
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
5261
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
blue by 3.8
5427
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds