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Red125
147736.4
463926.9
215835.8
Blue82
5732.2
505220.9
399132.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1058505015020025012582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
red by 4.2
3991
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
Second
2158
Unranked
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 3.6
57
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
4639
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
red by 6.0
5052
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
30%Capture odds5%Capture odds