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Red108
458748.6
333525.2
310325.5
Blue152
526120.6
62435.0
348139.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10398050150200108152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
red by 8.7
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Second
3103
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
blue by 9.5
624
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Third
3335
Unranked
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 4.6
5261
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds76%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds6%Capture odds