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Red140
399932.5
458748.6
147736.4
Blue97
433518.2
23133.7
288133.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1288105010015020025030035040014097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
red by 14.9
231
Unranked
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
Second
1477
Unranked
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
red by 3.0
2881
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Third
3999
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
red by 14.4
4335
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds69%Breach odds
Capture
35%Capture odds1%Capture odds