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Red84
589214.2
5732.2
348139.9
Blue98
541424.8
258521.8
300539.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89898085951008498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Level
3005
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
Second
57
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 7.3
5414
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5892
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 7.6
2585
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds2%Capture odds