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Red70
310325.5
215835.8
433518.2
Blue80
582922.8
129636.5
336628.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80922040601001201401607080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
Unranked
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
blue by 0.8
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Second
3103
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
blue by 2.5
3366
Unranked
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
4335
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 4.7
5829
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds1%Capture odds