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Red99
23133.7
147736.4
333525.2
Blue124
62437.5
384733.9
420615.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110705015020025030099124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
blue by 1.1
624
#22
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Second
231
#14
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
blue by 0.2
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Third
3335
#23
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
red by 9.5
4206
#24
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9