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Red77
541424.8
592321.1
590816.1
Blue90
125519.9
147736.4
62437.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5710301502002507790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#17
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 12.7
624
#22
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
Second
5923
#12
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.9
blue by 15.3
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Third
5908
#26
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 3.9
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds14%Capture odds