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Red85
23133.7
310325.5
999915.6
Blue110
590816.1
11868.0
246837.1
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6713505010015020025085110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#14
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
blue by 34.2
118
#4
68.00.0
68.068.0
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
Second
3103
#15
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
blue by 11.6
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
Third
9999
#25
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
blue by 0.4
5908
#26
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds37%Capture odds