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Red122
347839.0
258731.7
592321.1
Blue105
590816.1
458753.6
373524.3
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949702004006008001,0001,200122105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#16
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End8.8
blue by 14.6
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
2587
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
red by 7.4
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Third
5923
#12
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.9
red by 5.0
5908
#26
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach odds76%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds6%Capture odds