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Red85
125519.9
458753.6
215835.8
Blue67
637715.6
23133.7
347839.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117860501001502002508567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
red by 14.6
3478
#16
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto8.3
Teleop21.8
End8.8
Second
2158
#18
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
red by 2.0
231
#14
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
Third
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
red by 4.3
6377
#21
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds80%Breach odds
Capture
29%Capture odds3%Capture odds