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Red83
41820.8
374324.5
577521.2
Blue72
505220.9
543134.3
215835.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63990501508372

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3743
#19
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.5
blue by 11.2
2158
#13
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
5775
#23
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 13.0
5431
#30
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Third
418
#24
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 0.1
5052
#37
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach odds82%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds6%Capture odds